| 148.942 | What will the highest score be, on Atari 2600 Montezuma's Revenge, by any ML model that is un-augmented with domain knowledge on 2022-01-14? | Continuous |
| 118.777 | What will be the average top price performance (in G3D Mark /$) of the best available GPU on the following dates? (Jan-2022) | Continuous |
| 45.967 | What will the value of the herein defined Object Detection Performance Index be on 2022-01-14? | Continuous |
| 44.658 | What will the highest Exact Match rate of the best-performing model on SQuAD2.0 be on 2022-01-14? | Continuous |
| 42.780 | What will the state-of-the-art language modelling performance on One Billion Word be on 2022-01-14, in perplexity? | Continuous |
| 40.272 | How many e-prints on Few-Shot Learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period? | Continuous |
| 38.579 | How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period? | Continuous |
| 37.681 | What will be the maximum compute (in petaFLOPS-days) ever used in training an AI experiment by the following dates? (Jan-2022) | Continuous |
| 32.507 | What will be the state-of-the-art language modelling performance (in perplexity) on WikiText-103 by the following dates? (Jan 14, 2022) | Continuous |
| 28.391 | How many Natural Language Processing e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period? | Continuous |
| 27.805 | What will the state-of-the-art object detection performance on COCO be, at 2022-01-14 in box average precision (box AP)? | Continuous |
| 19.621 | What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2022-01-14? | Continuous |
| 18.876 | What will the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet be at 2022-01-14 in top-1 accuracy? | Continuous |
| 14.623 | How many Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period? | Continuous |
| 13.498 | What will be the sum of the performance (in exaFLOPS) of the top 500 supercomputers in the following dates? (November 2021) | Continuous |
| 10.839 | What will the combined sector weighting of Information Technology and Communications be, in the S&P 500 on 2022-01-14? | Continuous |
| 10.583 | [short fuse] Will Trump be impeached and convicted by the Senate in 2021? | Binary |
| 3.812 | Will Joe Biden hold the office of US President between 2021-12-24 and 2022-01-01? | Binary |
| 0.493 | Will Boris Johnson be UK Prime Minister in January 2022? | Binary |
| -0.939 | How much will the average degree of automation change for key US professions from December 2020 to the following dates? (January 2022) | Continuous |
| -7.380 | How many e-prints on AI Safety, Interpretability or Explainability will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period? | Continuous |
| -13.396 | What percent of total GDP will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q3 of 2021? | Continuous |
| -15.868 | Will the U.S. default on its debt before 1 November 2021? | Binary |
| -25.125 | How many e-prints on multi-modal learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-12-14 to 2022-01-14 period? | Continuous |
| -38.198 | What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, at 2022-01-14 in accuracy? | Continuous |
| -210.518 | What will the state-of-the-art performance on semantic segmentation on Cityscapes be at 2022-01-14 in mean IoU in percent (MIoU%)? | Continuous |