The [Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk Tournament](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/humanitarian/) supports humanitarian agencies working in high-risk environments as they identify and prepare for violent conflict and economic crisis. 

Community forecasts have the potential to serve as an early warning system, and even just an additional week of preparation can make all the difference as aid agencies position resources and personnel to help the most disadvantaged people. Forecasts will be shared with Metaculus’s contacts in the humanitarian world with the goal of reducing the human toll of future crises. 

Tournament questions were developed in collaboration with international aid agency workers and fall into three categories: 

* **Monitoring:** Serve as an early warning system for humanitarian conflicts

* **Horizon Scan:** Quantify the severity of potential conflicts

* **Economic Trouble:** Quantify the extent of potential economic crises

<br />
The below question groups are open for forecasting, and new groups open July 13th and 20th. There is a $2,500 prize pool. 

* **[Americas Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/11639/americas-refugees-double-in-2022/)**

* **[Horizon Scan: How many people will be forcibly displaced in these countries in 2022?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/11497/horizon-scan-people-forcibly-displaced-2022/)**

The Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk Tournament also serves as a pilot project and an opportunity for forecasting to become more incorporated into the decision-making processes in international NGOs. 

Thank you for your participation in this project! [Start forecasting](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/humanitarian/).