Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

Metaculus News

+ Create Article

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestions Tournaments Tournaments for AI bots FutureEval

ServicesLaunch a Tournament Private Instances Pro Forecasters

CompanyAboutCareers FAQ

ResourcesForecasting Resources For Journalists API

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

Respiratory Outlook June Update: New World Screwworm Enters the US

Jun 18, 2026•by gracemclain• no comments•2 min read

The Next Spot Scoring Date for the U.S. Democracy Threat Index is July 15

Jun 18, 2026•by urgentfutures• no comments•1 min read

Which Jobs will Survive AI? See Our New Occupation Forecast Pages

Jun 18, 2026•by urgentfutures•1 comment•3 min read

Key Findings from Frontiers in Disease Prevention with Coefficient Giving

Jun 11, 2026•by urgentfutures•1 comment•2 min read

Forecasting the Future of Animals: $3,400 in prizes

Jun 11, 2026•by urgentfutures•3 comments•2 min read

The 2026 US Midterms Tracker is Live!

Jun 4, 2026•by urgentfutures• no comments•2 min read

Announcing: the Metaculus Cup Spring 2026 Winners!

Jun 4, 2026•by urgentfutures•9 comments•2 min read

Announcing the US Midterms 2026 Tournament - $10,000 Prize Pool

May 26, 2026•by urgentfutures•4 comments•1 min read

Can you forecast the future of science?

May 15, 2026•by urgentfutures• no comments•4 min read

Respiratory Outlook May Update: Low Chance for Hantavirus Spread as Measles Forecast Drops Again

May 15, 2026•by gracemclain• no comments•1 min read

Announcing the Winners of the RAND x Metaculus Policy Challenge!

May 14, 2026•by urgentfutures•5 comments•3 min read

Announcing the Metaculus Cup Summer 2026 With Dylan Matthews!

May 1, 2026•by christian•33 comments•2 min read

Announcing Summer 2026 FutureEval Bot Tournament

May 1, 2026•by BenWilson• no comments•6 min read

Announcing: Epoch AI Robotics Series

Apr 29, 2026•by exmateriae• no comments•1 min read

Introducing the Labor Automation Forecasting Hub

Apr 20, 2026•by urgentfutures•1 comment•2 min read

Respiratory Outlook April Update: Measles Surge Slows as Flu Season Ends with Likely Moderate Severity

Apr 17, 2026•by gracemclain• no comments•1 min read

How Will AI Change Work? Forecast the Future of Labor Automation — $35,000 in Prizes

Apr 6, 2026•by christian•17 comments•2 min read

Announcing: Frontiers in Disease Prevention

Mar 18, 2026•by urgentfutures• no comments•1 min read

Announcing the 2026 Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Winners!

Mar 17, 2026•by urgentfutures•48 comments•2 min read

Respiratory Outlook March Update: Measles Expected to Surge This Year as Respiratory Season Winds Down

Mar 16, 2026•by gracemclain• no comments•1 min read

Respiratory Outlook February Update: Measles Expected to Climb to 30-Year Peak

Feb 27, 2026•by RyanBeck• no comments•2 min read

Announcing: Forecasting the Upstart Macro Index - $10,000 Prize Pool

Feb 18, 2026•by skmmcj•11 comments•1 min read

Announcing: AI Outlook With JetBrains, $3,000 Prize Pool

Feb 10, 2026•by christian•3 comments•1 min read

Announcing the ACX 2025 Contest Winners!

Feb 2, 2026•by skmmcj•2 comments•2 min read