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Share forecasts and contribute to greater clarity on key open questions spanning frontier AI models, lab safety teams, and more.

### [Get started](https://www.metaculus.com/project/2907/).

The Future of AI series builds on a set of key AI questions identified by [Arb Research](https://arbresearch.com/) to provide more accurate models of future AI progress. 

**Forecast on questions like:**

[Will there be a leading AI lab with no internal safety team in the following years: 2026, 2030, 2036](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/21308/leading-lab-no-safety/
)

[Will a Fields medalist have spent at least a year trying AI safety research before the following years: 2026, 2030, 2036](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/21288/fields-medalists-trying-ai-safety/)

[Will there be a frontier AI model from the given country before 2035?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/21541/frontier-country-ai-model-by-2035/)