Today Metaculus is launching the [2024 Electoral Consequences](https://www.metaculus.com/project/us-conditionals/) project, featuring conditional questions on how key US and global issues might be shaped by the outcome of the November 5th presidential election. The impact of who voters select in November is always a hotly debated topic motivated by strong opinions, and we're excited to try to ground the conversation in measurable metrics that voters care about. From inflation to abortion to immigration to crime to foreign policy, we've created questions that aim to quantify the impact of the choice on the [key](https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/02/29/americans-top-policy-priority-for-2024-strengthening-the-economy/) [issues](https://news.gallup.com/poll/642887/inflation-immigration-rank-among-top-issue-concerns.aspx).

  


Whether you favor Trump or Harris, now is your opportunity to register your predictions and see if your view of their presidencies is accurate. The difference between the aggregated forecasts for each candidate will shed light on the areas where forecasters think the candidates have diverging influence, and areas where they might have little influence.

  


Can you predict what things will look like near the end of the next presidential term? [Make your forecasts now](https://www.metaculus.com/project/us-conditionals/), and see how your judgment stacks up against reality.