![](https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/user_uploaded/acx-2025-cover.jpg)

We're again hosting Scott Alexander’s annual forecasting contest! And this year we're expanding the prize pool from \$2,500 to **\$10,000**.

Make your predictions in the [**ACX 2025 Prediction Contest**](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/ACX2025/) before **January 31st** on questions like:

* [Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31348/us-government-releases-additional-epstein-documents-in-2025/)
* [Will a commercially available AI be able to order you a Starbucks delivery in 2025?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31347/ai-takes-starbucks-delivery-order-in-2025/)
* [Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31341/application-to-ban-afd-in-2025/)
* [Will real-money betting on Polymarket or Manifold become legal for US residents in 2025?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31340/polymarket-or-manifold-real-money-bets-legal-in-us-in-2025/)
* [Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31326/openai-tops-chatbot-arena-at-end-2025/)
* [Will Nvidia outperform the S\&P 500 in 2025?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31307/will-nvda-outperform-spy-in-2025/)
* [Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31296/will-fy-2025-deportations-in-the-us-be-2x-those-of-fy-2024/)
* [Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31271/us-housing-prices-increase-more-in-2025-compared-to-2024/)

Like last year, we will take a snapshot of all standing forecasts on January 31st. It is only these predictions that will determine the winners. Community Predictions will be revealed after this snapshot is taken.

Whether you’re a seasoned forecaster or new to predicting the future, this is a great opportunity to test your predictive abilities on some of the year’s most consequential topics.