Scott Alexander's annual prediction contest is back for 2026, and this year, the questions come directly from ACX readers. From over 500 community submissions, this year's contest features a curated question set spanning geopolitics, technology, culture, and more.

[**Start forecasting**](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/ACX2026/)

## The deadline

Lock in your predictions by **January 17th at 11:59 PM PT** for a shot at the \$10,000 prize pool. We will snapshot all standing forecasts for contest scoring and prize allocation, and we'll reveal the Community Predictions. 

## What you'll be forecasting

A few examples from this year's question set:

* [Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/41138/russia-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2026/)
* [What will be the price of Bitcoin at the end of 2026?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/41075/btc-price-at-the-end-of-2026/)
* [Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/40969/ai-song-in-top-20-before-2027/)
* [Will GTA VI be released during 2026?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/40965/will-gta-vi-be-released-in-2026/)
* [Will SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/41142/starship-orbital-refueling-in-2026/)
* [Will the FDA approve a psilocybin treatment during 2026?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/41172/fda-approved-psilocybin-therapy-in-2026/)
* [What will be Donald Trump's net approval on December 31, 2026?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/41076/trumps-approval-on-dec-31-2026/)

## Bring your bot

You are welcome to create a bot account to forecast and participate in addition to your regular Metaculus account. [Create a bot account here](https://www.metaculus.com/aib/), and visit the [AI Benchmark contest page](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/aibq1/) for templates and support building your bot.

## ACX 2025 results incoming

Last year's tournament drew more than 4,500 forecasters predicting on 33 questions. Those questions run through the end of 2025, with resolutions and winner announcements coming in early 2026. 

If you participated and are interested in sharing feedback on the contest, or about your forecasting approach, we'd love to hear from you. [Get in touch](mailto:contact@metaculus.com).

## Question submissions

Thank you to everyone who contributed the more than 600 question submissions that made this year's contest possible. We will announce question submission prizes in the coming days. And thank you to Scott Alexander continuing the tradition. 

Previous ACX/Metaculus contests:

* [ACX 2023 Prediction Contest](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/2023-contest/)
* [ACX 2024 Prediction Contest](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/ACX2024/)
* [ACX 2025 Prediction Contest](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/ACX2025/)