We’re excited to announce that Round 2 of the Nuclear Risk Tournament, developed in partnership with Rethink Priorities, is set to go live on Thursday October 7, 2021. Your forecasts on these questions will help to inform funding, policy, research, and career decisions with the ultimate goal of reducing the risk of catastrophic nuclear conflict. 

If you haven’t participated yet, Round 1 – which opened in June 2021 – includes many calibration questions that don’t resolve until early 2024, so there is still plenty of time for new forecasters to join!

Round 2 features more than 20 new calibration questions that are set to be resolved no later than early 2024. 

Within the next week, we plan to launch our tournament leaderboards. Additionally, [on October 9 we will host a presentation and Q&A](https://www.eventbrite.com/e/forecasting-nuclear-risk-with-rethink-priorities-michael-aird-tickets-178347812107?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=nuclearevent) with Michael Aird of Rethink Priorities regarding nuclear risk and how forecasts inform his work. 

We greatly appreciate the contributions of all the forecasters who have made predictions so far. And, we’re interested to hear from you — leave your ideas, concerns, questions, or anything else you’d like to share that’s related to the project in the comments section below.

Happy Forecasting!