With 2021 drawing to a close, it's time to set 2022 goals. Working to become more precise in your thinking and better able to parse signal from noise makes for a great new year's resolution, and forecasting is a great way to pursue it. 

We've assembled a number of [Public Figure Predictions](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/8198/updated-public-figure-predictions/) from thinkers who've publicly shared their predictions on topics that will shape 2022 and beyond, and we invite the Metaculus Community to forecast along with them. 

* **[William MacAskill on human extinction and artificial general intelligence](https://www.metaculus.com/public-figure/william-macaskill/)**

* **[Scott Alexander on charter city success, yearly COVID shots, and Trump](https://www.metaculus.com/public-figure/scott-alexander/)**

* **[Toby Ord on engineered pandemics and unaligned AIs](https://www.metaculus.com/public-figure/toby-ord/)**

* **[Eliezer Yudkowsky on long COVID and the metaverse](https://www.metaculus.com/public-figure/eliezer-yudkowsky/)**

* **[Carl Shulman on AI timelines and chips optimized for AI functions](https://www.metaculus.com/public-figure/carl-shulman/)**

* **[Rodney Brooks on traveling to and colonizing Mars](https://www.metaculus.com/public-figure/rodney-brooks/)**

* **[Ray Kurzweil on passing the Turing test and human-machine intelligence parity](https://www.metaculus.com/public-figure/ray-kurzweil/)**

* **[Holden Karnofsky on transformative AI](https://www.metaculus.com/public-figure/holden-karnofsky/)**

*For a more detailed explanation of how Public Figure Predictions work and for a complete list of the currently featured Public Figures, [start here](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/8198/updated-public-figure-predictions/).*