Key Factors
- FIFA's stronger action threshold at 32°C
- Open-air venues pose heat suspension risks
- Air-conditioned stadiums for high-risk matches
19 comments
77 forecasters
Who will win the 2026 California gubernatorial election?
Chad Bianco0.1%
Steve Hilton2%
Katie Porter0.1%
Xavier Becerra97.6%
4 others
5 comments
36 forecasters
Wild animal infected with New World screwworm in the US before 2027?
66%chance
4% this week
Key Factors
- Recent World Cup songs failed to chart
- Dai Dai's low initial chart position
- Major performances at World Cup events
0 comments
8 forecasters
# of top labs with animal welfare in AI guidelines in 2034?
122.6%
223.6%
318.5%
410.3%
4 others
Key Factors
- Dylan's recalculated average peer score should bring him to CP competing range
- Dylan has tournament experience but not Cup experience (increases uncertainty)
- vox.com:Dylan Matthews Profile and Activity | Vox
0 comments
10 forecasters
How many screwworm cases in Mexico before July 2027?
Current estimate
64.1k cases
0 comments
9 forecasters
How many more US states will ban cultivated meat before July 2027?
014.1%
130.8%
225.9%
316.4%
4+12.8%
0 comments
9 forecasters
What share of global fish production will be aquaculture in 2040?
Current estimate
61.6%
0 comments
11 forecasters
What will be Mexico's forecasted meat consumption for 2027?
Current estimate
11k 1000 MT CWE
0 comments
11 forecasters
What will India's meat production per capita be in 2026-2027?
Current estimate
7.78 kg per capita
0 comments
11 forecasters
How much funding will Wild Animal Initiative receive in 2026?
Current estimate
4.01 $m
0 comments
13 forecasters
Will plant-based meat reach 10% of US retail meat sales before 2031?
4%chance
0 comments
8 forecasters
# of Europe’s top 20 grocers with shrimp welfare policies by Jul '27?
Current estimate
10.3 retailers
0 comments
10 forecasters
What % of the US hen flock will be in-ovo sexed in 2027?
Current estimate
3.68%
0 comments
10 forecasters
What % of the EU hen flock will be in-ovo sexed in 2027?
Current estimate
38.5%
