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209 comments
1.5k forecasters

Will Vladimir Putin be the president of the Russian Federation on February 1, 2023?

99%chance
99%chance
ResolvedYes
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Authors:
AlyssaStevens
Opened:Feb 26, 2022
Closes:Feb 1, 2023
Resolved:Feb 2, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 26, 2022
Ukraine Conflict
Verity
Geopolitics
🏆 2022-2023 Leaderboard
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When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?

23 Feb 2030
(11 Feb 2028 - Jan 2032)
23 Feb 2030
(11 Feb 2028 - Jan 2032)
662 forecasters

Will a post-Putin Russia substantially democratise within 5 years?

12.5% chance
140

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3% chance
1.8k
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