72 comments
434 forecasters
Will there be any progress in human lifespan enhancement by 2100?
97%chance
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jun 30, 2018
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2099
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 30, 2018
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
When will the first biological human to live to the age of 1000 be born?
2092
(Jan 1992 - 2877)
2092
(Jan 1992 - 2877)
198 forecasters
How old will the oldest living person be in 2100?
132 years old
(122 - 150)
132 years old
(122 - 150)
199 forecasters
Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?
28% chance
1.5k