142 comments

917 forecasters

Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2023?

1%chance

1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Mar 2, 2022

Closes:

Feb 1, 2023

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 2, 2022

Ukraine Conflict

2022-2023 Leaderboard

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?

Not before 2026

1 October 2025 - 31 December 2025

1 January 2025 - 31 March 2025

Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?

When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict?

(01 Feb 2026 - 29 Dec 2027)

(01 Feb 2026 - 29 Dec 2027)

341 forecasters