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5 comments
95 forecasters

Will China make a successful, major cyberattack on Taiwanese critical infrastructure before December 31, 2022?

1%chance
1%chance
ResolvedNo
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
AlyssaStevens
Opened:Mar 15, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolved:Mar 31, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 13, 2022
White Hat Cyber
Technology
Geopolitics
Politics
Computing and Math
2022 Leaderboard
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Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?

60% chance
47

Will China cut half or more of the undersea cables that connect Taiwan to the internet before the given years?

2035
24%
2030
9%
25 forecasters

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?

2025
No
2026
2%
2028
15%
2 others
860 forecasters
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