Question

Will China make a successful, major cyberattack on Taiwanese critical infrastructure before December 31, 2022?

Resolved:No

5 comments5

Total Forecasters95

Community Prediction

(1% - 1.6%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

66.3

Community Peer Score

15.9

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Mar 15, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Mar 31, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 13, 2022

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US And Israel Should Prepare For Destructive Iranian Cyberattacks, Ex-Intel Officer Says

Forbes•Jun 24, 2025

Taiwan Is Rushing to Make Its Own Drones Before It’s Too Late

Wired•Jun 23, 2025

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