Question

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2041?

11
21
Total Forecasters110
Community Prediction
69%
(50% - 84%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 69%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
stanulamstan
Opened:Aug 14, 2022
Closes:Dec 30, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2041
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 16, 2022
Technology
Geopolitics
Politics