258 forecasters

If there is a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement agreement between Russia and Ukraine in 2022, when will it take effect?

community

>31 Dec 2022 00:00

result

Ambiguous

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Gaia

Opened:

Mar 15, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 16, 2022

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When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?

Not before 2026

97.2%

1 October 2025 - 31 December 2025

2.5%

1 January 2025 - 31 March 2025

0.1%

2 others

74 forecasters

When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict?

09 Nov 2026

(11 Feb 2026 - 03 Feb 2028)

09 Nov 2026

(11 Feb 2026 - 03 Feb 2028)

341 forecasters

If a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict goes into effect in 2025, how long will it last?