380 forecasters

Will Sweden's government initiate the process of joining NATO in 2022?

99%chance

99%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Mar 15, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolved:

May 17, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 16, 2022

Ukraine Conflict

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