Related Questions on Metaculus:
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet to discuss the peaceful resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict before 2023?
Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2023?
Reuters reported on 28 February, 2022:
"Officials from Russia and Ukraine ended peace talks on Monday (February, 28th, 2022) and will return to their respective capitals for further consultations before a second round of negotiations."
This first round of peace talks after the Russian invasion of Ukraine was attended by a delegation from Russia and a delegation from Ukraine without the presence of the Ukrainian President, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, and the Russian President, Vladimir Putin.
The presence of both Presidents could potentially lead to an increase in the likelihood of a ceasefire between the two states.
If Putin and Zelenskyy meet to discuss peace in 2022, when will they first meet?
This question will resolve on the date that Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy first have a direct conversation with the intention to discuss a peaceful resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict (the conversation can take place in person, by phone, by video conference or similar), according to statements by both Ukranian and Russian governments, or according to at least three credible media sources.
If no such meeting occurs between March 2, 2022 to December 31, 2022, this question will resolve as Ambiguous. (Although the boundaries of the input range are open, neither < March 2, 2022 nor > December 31, 2022 will be valid resolutions).
If the two men meet for several days and then announce that they had a conversation of this nature, the question will resolve as either the day they claim the agreement took place if they make this claim, or the last day of the several-day meeting.
If either of these men is no longer the president of his respective country, this question will resolve ambiguously.
If they meet after a peace arrangement has been successfully reached, or they meet during a multi-day (at least 7 days) ceasefire unrelated to their meeting, this will not count toward resolution.