Question
How many civilian casualties of the Russo-Ukrainian War will there be before May 2022?
Resolved:6357Total Forecasters203
Community Prediction
7378
(5985 - 9433)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 5985 | — |
| median | 7378 | — |
| upper 75% | 9433 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >16k | 4.0% | — |
What was the final result?6357
Community Baseline Score
47.7
Community Peer Score
25.1
Authors:
Opened:Mar 18, 2022
Closes:Apr 13, 2022
Resolves:May 3, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 18, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Mar 18, 2022
Closes:Apr 13, 2022
Resolves:May 3, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 18, 2022
