23 comments
102 forecasters
Will the US CDC recommend use of a smallpox/monkeypox vaccine for at least 10% of the US population, before 2023?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:May 19, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolved:Jan 20, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:May 20, 2022
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Will there be another case of smallpox by the end of 2029?
5% chance
113
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
1% chance
111
Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?
1% chance
94