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will be the average top price performance (in G3D Mark /$) of the best available GPU on the following dates? 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One of the measures of performance it uses is [3DMark](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/3DMark), a computer benchmarking tool.","created_at":"2021-01-08T12:08:19.734196Z","open_time":"2021-01-14T18:00:00Z","cp_reveal_time":"2021-01-15T08:58:55.952836Z","spot_scoring_time":"2021-01-15T08:58:55.952836Z","scheduled_resolve_time":"2022-01-15T20:03:00Z","actual_resolve_time":"2022-01-15T20:03:00Z","resolution_set_time":"2022-01-15T20:03:00Z","scheduled_close_time":"2021-03-13T23:00:00Z","actual_close_time":"2021-03-13T23:00:00Z","type":"numeric","options":null,"group_variable":"","status":"resolved","possibilities":{"low":"tail","high":"tail","type":"continuous","scale":{"max":120,"min":40,"deriv_ratio":1},"format":"num"},"resolution":"below_lower_bound","include_bots_in_aggregates":false,"question_weight":1,"resolution_criteria":"This question will resolve as the mean price performance (in G3D Mark / Price) of the top two available GPUs by price performance, according to [Videocard benchmarks](https://www.videocardbenchmark.net/) on 11:59PM GMT on the following dates.\n\nJun-2021 will be evaluated on June 14, 2021; Jan-2022 on Jan 14, 2022; Feb-2023 on Feb 14, 2023; Dec-2026 on Dec 14, 2026; and Jan-2030 on Jan 1, 2030.","fine_print":"GPU prices used to calculate price performance by Passmark will be converted to 2020 USD. Prices are adjusted to (average) 2020 prices using [Consumer Price Index: Total All Items for the United States](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPALTT01USQ661S).\n\nThe question resolves ambiguously if [Videocard benchmarks](https://www.videocardbenchmark.net/) ceases to report G3D Mark, or its methodology changes substantially.","label":"Jan-2022","unit":"G3D 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will be the average top price performance (in G3D Mark /$) of the best available GPU on the following dates? (Feb-2023)","description":"\nThis question is part of the Maximum Likelihood Round of the Forecasting AI Progress Tournament. You can view all other questions in this round here.\n\n\n-----\n\nMost modern neural network implementations are based on graphics processing units [[1]](https://www.deeplearningbook.org/). This is because GPUs have a much larger number of cores than CPUs, and are thus better suited to executing highly parallelizable programs [[2]](https://www.nature.com/articles/nature14539).\n\n[Videocard benchmarks](https://www.videocardbenchmark.net/) is a benchmarking project by [Passmark](https://www.passmark.com/), a software company. It aggregates performance and price data on GPUs. 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One of the measures of performance it uses is [3DMark](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/3DMark), a computer benchmarking tool.","created_at":"2020-12-12T22:13:33.676791Z","open_time":"2020-12-15T23:00:00Z","cp_reveal_time":"2020-12-16T20:58:11.878885Z","spot_scoring_time":"2020-12-16T20:58:11.878885Z","scheduled_resolve_time":"2026-12-14T22:18:00Z","actual_resolve_time":null,"resolution_set_time":null,"scheduled_close_time":"2025-02-14T22:18:00Z","actual_close_time":"2025-02-14T22:18:00Z","type":"numeric","options":null,"group_variable":"","status":"closed","possibilities":{"low":"tail","high":"tail","type":"continuous","scale":{"max":400,"min":50,"deriv_ratio":1},"format":"num"},"resolution":null,"include_bots_in_aggregates":false,"question_weight":1,"resolution_criteria":"This question will resolve as the mean price performance (in G3D Mark / Price) of the top two available GPUs by price performance, according to [Videocard benchmarks](https://www.videocardbenchmark.net/) on 11:59PM GMT on the following dates.\n\nJun-2021 will be evaluated on June 14, 2021; Jan-2022 on Jan 14, 2022; Feb-2023 on Feb 14, 2023; Dec-2026 on Dec 14, 2026; and Jan-2030 on Jan 1, 2030.","fine_print":"GPU prices used to calculate price performance by Passmark will be converted to 2020 USD. 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will be the average top price performance (in G3D Mark /$) of the best available GPU on the following dates? (Jun-2021)","description":"\nThis question is part of the Maximum Likelihood Round of the Forecasting AI Progress Tournament. You can view all other questions in this round here.\n\n\n-----\n\nMost modern neural network implementations are based on graphics processing units [[1]](https://www.deeplearningbook.org/). This is because GPUs have a much larger number of cores than CPUs, and are thus better suited to executing highly parallelizable programs [[2]](https://www.nature.com/articles/nature14539).\n\n[Videocard benchmarks](https://www.videocardbenchmark.net/) is a benchmarking project by [Passmark](https://www.passmark.com/), a software company. It aggregates performance and price data on GPUs. 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