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46 comments
114 forecasters

What will be the average top price performance (in G3D Mark /$) of the best available GPU on the following dates?

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

Authors:
casens
Opened:Dec 14, 2020
Closed:Apr 14, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2029
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What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years?

2023
5×10²⁵
2025
5.1×10²⁶
2032
3.1×10²⁹
2 others
90 forecasters

What will be the speed (in FLOPS) of the fastest supercomputer on record in the following years?

2023
1.2×10¹⁸
2025
3×10¹⁸
2032
8.4×10¹⁹
2 others
69 forecasters

What will be total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world in the listed years?

2023
168.2B
2025
552B
2032
1.68T
2 others
73 forecasters
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