261 comments
673 forecasters
How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024?
50,000result: Yes
25,000result: Yes
100,000Ambiguous
Authors:
Opened:Apr 1, 2022
Closes:Dec 30, 2023
Resolved:Feb 26, 2024
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When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict?
25 Jan 2027
(27 Apr 2026 - 15 Feb 2028)
25 Jan 2027
(27 Apr 2026 - 15 Feb 2028)
344 forecasters
Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?
2% chance
196
Will there be a large-scale armed conflict in Russia before 2030?
20% chance
2.1k