261 comments

673 forecasters

How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024?

50,000result: Yes

25,000result: Yes

100,000Ambiguous

100,000

50,000

25,000

Authors:

Opened:

Apr 1, 2022

Closes:

Dec 30, 2023

Resolved:

Feb 26, 2024

Ukraine Conflict

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Hundreds of Russian troops stranded and starving in ‘death zone’ on Ukraine’s Dnipro River

Independent•Oct 23, 2025

Hundreds of Russian troops stranded and starving in ‘death zone’ on Ukraine’s Dnipro River

Independent•Oct 22, 2025

Trapped on death island: 'Marooned' Russian troops are starving to death and 5,000 have died after being cut off from other Russian forces in Ukraine

Daily Mail•Oct 21, 2025

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When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict?

(10 Jun 2026 - 01 May 2028)

(10 Jun 2026 - 01 May 2028)

345 forecasters

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will there be a large-scale armed conflict in Russia before 2030?