Group

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?

78
374
831 forecasters

Make a Prediction

DateMe
2025
no
2026
4%
2028
20%
2030
31%
2035
44%
Resolved Jan 1, 2025
Community Baseline Score
90.6
Community Peer Score
9.7

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
Opened:May 6, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035