38 comments
64 forecasters
What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Democraticresult: 48.3242
Republicanresult: 49.79607
Greenresult: 0.555306
Authors:
Opened:Aug 4, 2022
Closes:Nov 5, 2024
Resolved:Mar 4, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
When will the Republican presidential nominee next win the state of Massachusetts in a US Presidential Election?
25 forecasters
Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?
0.5% chance
18
Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?
80 forecasters