Question

If China launches a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2035, how much will China's real GDP (PPP) grow over the next 4 quarters?

Total Forecasters19
Community Prediction
-2.15%
(-8.38% - 3.16%)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<-35%0.6%
Quartiles
lower 25%-8.376%
median-2.153%
upper 75%3.164%
Upper bound
>12%3.9%
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Opened:Aug 11, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 13, 2022