Question

Will the Brain Preservation Foundation's Large Mammal preservation prize be won by Feb 9th, 2017?

Resolved:No

3 comments3

Total Forecasters58

Community Prediction

55%

(50% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 55%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-15.4

Community Peer Score

18.5

Authors:

JohnMSmart

Opened:

Feb 10, 2016

Closes:

Apr 15, 2016

Resolves:

Feb 14, 2017

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 10, 2016

Natural Sciences

Technology

2016 Leaderboard

When will the first cryogenically frozen large mammal be revived?

2079

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Before 2030, will C. elegans be uploaded to the satisfaction of top computational neuroscientists?

33%

Authors:

JohnMSmart

Opened:

Feb 10, 2016

Closes:

Apr 15, 2016

Resolves:

Feb 14, 2017

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 10, 2016

Natural Sciences

Technology

2016 Leaderboard

When will the first cryogenically frozen large mammal be revived?

2079

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Before 2030, will C. elegans be uploaded to the satisfaction of top computational neuroscientists?

33%