Question

Will the UK leave the EU by the end of June 2020?

Resolved:Yes

14 comments14

Total Forecasters208

Community Prediction

75%

(66% - 86%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 75%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

65.0

Community Peer Score

15.1

Authors:

gjm

Opened:

Jul 27, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2019

Resolves:

Feb 1, 2020

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 27, 2018

Politics

2018-2019 Leaderboard

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

When will the United Kingdom apply to rejoin the EU?

Oct 2038

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

13%

Authors:

gjm

Opened:

Jul 27, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2019

Resolves:

Feb 1, 2020

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 27, 2018

Politics

2018-2019 Leaderboard

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

When will the United Kingdom apply to rejoin the EU?

Oct 2038

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

13%