Question

Will the latest Ebola outbreak be stopped before it claims a hundred lives?

Resolved:No

18 comments18

Total Forecasters75

Community Prediction

25%

(19% - 38%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

18.3

Authors:

jzima

Opened:

Aug 10, 2018

Closes:

Sep 5, 2018

Resolves:

Sep 24, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 10, 2018

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?

53%

Will there be another case of smallpox by the end of 2029?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

Authors:

jzima

Opened:

Aug 10, 2018

Closes:

Sep 5, 2018

Resolves:

Sep 24, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 10, 2018

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?

53%