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Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?

Humanity stands at the cusp of eradicating its second disease, Dracunculiasis, or Guinea Worm Disease. In 2018, only 28 cases were reported in humans, worldwide. Sadly, Guinea Worm appears to have adapted to infecting dogs, reinvigorating wild populations and placing formerly safe communities back at risk. Recognizing the difficulty, the World Health Organization (WHO) has moved its eradication deadline back from 2020 to 2030.

Will the WHO certify Guinea Worm Eradication worldwide before the end of 2030?

Note that the WHO eradication certification requires the certified country to have three consecutive years free of any indigenous cases of the disease. Accordingly, this question will close three years prior to the deadline, and will be resolved negatively if any cases are reported anywhere after the beginning of 2028.


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