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    Chinese Invasion of Taiwan in 2023

    Created by casens and
    co-authors , {{coauthor.username}}
    on {{qctrl.question.created_time | dateStr}}
    Trustworthy News ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

    Related questions on Metaculus:

    In 2023 will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan?

    To clarify this question, Scott Alexander wrote:

    Very loosely, an invasion of a scale such that China most likely intended for it to establish direct control over at least half of the island of Taiwan, whether or not they actually accomplish this.

    This question will resolve at the exclusive authority of Scott Alexander in his 2023 prediction contest. More information about the contest can be found here.

    Predictions on Metaculus will only count for your Metaculus track record; they will not be evaluated by Scott Alexander.

    Categories:
    Geopolitics – Armed Conflict

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