Questions
Tournaments
Discover
Services
Questions
Tournaments
Discover
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
About
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
94
538
forecasters
88
94 comments
538 forecasters
AI Progress Essay Contest
3 more...
Will AI progress surprise us by predictions of AGI jumping sharply?
Predict
Follow
share
embed
75%
chance
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Notify me when this resolves
Comments (94)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Will AI progress surprise Metaculus