Question
How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2030?
Total Forecasters46
Community Prediction
299 months
(264 months - 304 months)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <2 | 0.4% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 263.6 | — |
| median | 299.1 | — |
| upper 75% | 303.7 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >360 | 5.1% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 18, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 20, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Dec 18, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 20, 2022