5 comments
70 forecasters
Democracy in Crisis: how many autocrats, strongmen and dictators in 2028?
Latest estimate
48
Authors:
Opened:Sep 18, 2018
Closed:Jun 1, 2020
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 19, 2018
What fraction of the world's population will live in a democracy in 2040?
51.2%
(40.7 - 61.2)
51.2%
(40.7 - 61.2)
30 forecasters
What will be the Democracy Index of the United States in 2040?
7.06
(6.24 - 7.67)
7.06
(6.24 - 7.67)
56 forecasters
Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?
81 forecasters