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5 comments
70 forecasters

Democracy in Crisis: how many autocrats, strongmen and dictators in 2028?

Latest estimate
48
Authors:
Tamay
Opened:Sep 18, 2018
Closed:Jun 1, 2020
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 19, 2018
Geopolitics
Politics
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What fraction of the world's population will live in a democracy in 2040?

51.2%
(40.7 - 61.2)
51.2%
(40.7 - 61.2)
30 forecasters

What will be the Democracy Index of the United States in 2040?

7.06
(6.24 - 7.67)
7.06
(6.24 - 7.67)
56 forecasters

Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?

2030
60%
2040
40%
2050
38%
81 forecasters
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