Question

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Total Forecasters35
Community Prediction
35.1%
(20% - 53%)

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50%
community: 35.1%
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Opened:Feb 12, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2069
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2071
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 14, 2023