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7
98
forecasters
21
7 comments
98 forecasters
Elections
2 more...
condition
Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024?
Resolved:
No
98 forecasters
if yes
if no
Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
90%
90%
Resolved:
Annulled
Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
52%
52%
Resolved:
No
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if Yes
90%
1 more
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Democrat Wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
61%
chance
5 comments
50 forecasters
Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Democratic Party
59.9%
Republican Party
40%
Other
0.1%
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US States Won by Non-Major Parties in 2028
1%
chance
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Donald Trump primary voting factor in 2026 midterms?
99.9%
chance
75 comments
183 forecasters
Trump in power beyond 2028?
2.5%
chance
14 comments
247 forecasters
Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee for President of the United States?
JD Vance
45.3%
Ron DeSantis
4.7%
Marco Rubio
17%
Other
26.6%
4 others
0 comments
23 forecasters
Will Trump be impeached again?
Democratic Congress
Upcoming
Republican Congress
Upcoming
Split Congress
Upcoming
11 comments
240 forecasters
Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?
Gavin Newsom
25.9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10.3%
Pete Buttigieg
7.3%
Other
44.1%
4 others