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7
98
forecasters
21
7 comments
98 forecasters
Elections
2 more...
condition
Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024?
Resolved:
No
98 forecasters
if yes
if no
Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
90%
90%
Resolved:
Annulled
Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
52%
52%
Resolved:
No
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if Yes
90%
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161 forecasters
Democrat Wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
61%
chance
5 comments
50 forecasters
Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Democratic Party
59.9%
Republican Party
40%
Other
0.1%
5 comments
25 forecasters
US States Won by Non-Major Parties in 2028
1%
chance
7 comments
43 forecasters
Donald Trump primary voting factor in 2026 midterms?
99.9%
chance
75 comments
183 forecasters
Trump in power beyond 2028?
2.5%
chance
14 comments
247 forecasters
Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee for President of the United States?
JD Vance
44.8%
Ron DeSantis
4.7%
Marco Rubio
17.7%
Other
27%
4 others
0 comments
23 forecasters
Will Trump be impeached again?
Democratic Congress
75%
Republican Congress
8%
Split Congress
55%
11 comments
240 forecasters
Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?
Gavin Newsom
26.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10.4%
Pete Buttigieg
7.4%
Other
43.5%
4 others