MetaculusM

conditional

conditional

Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024?

if yes

if no

Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

20

Make a Prediction

Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024?	Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

community: 90%

Forecast Timeline

Yes

No

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Democratic Party (US)

Republican Party (US)

US Electoral College

2024 Elections (US)

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Democratic Party (US)

Republican Party (US)

US Electoral College

2024 Elections (US)