Question
When will the first cloned human be born?
Total Forecasters131
Community Prediction
Mar 2041
(Nov 2032 - >Oct 2050)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <Dec 2005 | 0.7% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | Nov 2032 | — |
| median | Mar 2041 | — |
| upper 75% | >Oct 2050 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Oct 2050 | 28.3% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Nov 20, 2018
Closes:Oct 23, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Oct 24, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 22, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Nov 20, 2018
Closes:Oct 23, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Oct 24, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 22, 2018