Question
When will the first cloned human be born?
Total Forecasters130
Community Prediction
Aug 2040
(Jul 2032 - >Oct 2050)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <Dec 2005 | 0.7% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | Jul 2032 | — |
| median | Aug 2040 | — |
| upper 75% | >Oct 2050 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Oct 2050 | 27.4% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 20, 2018
Closes:Oct 23, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Oct 24, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 22, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Nov 20, 2018
Closes:Oct 23, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Oct 24, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 22, 2018