Your submission is now in Draft mode.

Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

Submit Essay

Once you submit your essay, you can no longer edit it.


This content now needs to be approved by community moderators.


This essay was submitted and is waiting for review.

Will the Ocean Cleanup project *fail* to have 60 systems up and running by 2021?


Dutch inventor Boyan Slat founded the Ocean Cleanup, an ambitious project to remove plastic from the oceans. On September 8, 2018 they launched their new system. Here’s how it works:


The system consists of a 600-meter-long floater that sits at the surface of the water and a tapered 3-meter-deep skirt attached below. The floater provides buoyancy to the system and prevents plastic from flowing over it, while the skirt stops debris from escaping underneath.


Both the plastic and system are being carried by the current. However, wind and waves propel only the system, as the floater sits just above the water surface, while the plastic is primarily just beneath it. The system thus moves faster than the plastic, allowing the plastic to be captured.


Natural forces move the system faster than the plastic which allows the plastic to be captured in the center of the system. The Ocean Cleanup Technology

Slat's system is currently en route to the Great Pacific Garbage Patch where it will face the most rigorous test thus far. The next milestone for The Ocean Cleanup is to have 60 systems up and running by 2021. Positive resolution is if they fail to meet their goal.

Resolution: Question resolves as affirmative if a credible news agency reports that The Ocean Cleanup failed to have 60 systems up and running by January 1, 2021, or if no information indicating they reached their goal arrives by 1/1/2021.

Make a Prediction


Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.