Question

Will an Elon Musk-funded AI lab release an LLM before 2024?

Resolved:Yes
Total Forecasters199
Community Prediction
99%
(98% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-12.1
Community Peer Score
17.7
Authors:
Opened:Apr 19, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Dec 31, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 19, 2023