Question
If Metaculus creates a Patreon account, how much will be pledged after 2 months?
Resolved:98Total Forecasters53
Community Prediction
202
(67.8 - 538)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <10 | 3.9% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 67.77 | — |
| median | 202.5 | — |
| upper 75% | 537.5 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >100k | 0.6% | — |
What was the final result?98
Community Baseline Score
33.2
Community Peer Score
14.0
Authors:
Opened:Dec 24, 2018
Closes:Jan 25, 2019
Resolves:Mar 16, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 24, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Dec 24, 2018
Closes:Jan 25, 2019
Resolves:Mar 16, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 24, 2018