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41
53
forecasters
17
41 comments
53 forecasters
Metaculus
1 more...
If Metaculus creates a Patreon account, how much will be pledged after 2 months?
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202
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98
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98
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Date of Last Metaculus Resolution
Current estimate
Mar 2047
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Metaculus Existence in 2030
98%
chance
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Total Number of Metaculus Predictions
10 comments
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Will Metaculus, or a licensed derivative, be operated as a public site by a publicly traded company by 2030?
2.4%
chance
0 comments
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Global Fund contributions in 2026-28 cycle
Current estimate
14.6B $
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No Explosive Growth by 2043
88%
chance
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Time From (weak) AGI to Superintelligence
Current estimate
34 months
5 comments
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Atmospheric CO2 in 2100
Current estimate
597 ppm