conditional
if yes
if no
Make a Prediction
Legislation Limiting LLMs Introduced? | When will GPT5 be announced? |
|---|---|
| My Prediction: - | |
| My Prediction: - |
CDF
The question "Will a member of the United States Congress introduce legislation limiting the use of LLMs before January 1, 2024?" has closed, so these conditionals are closed for forecasting. They will resolve when the question "When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?" resolves.
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 15 Jun 2024 | — |
| median | 22 Jan 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | 30 Aug 2025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >15 May 2026 | 10.8% | — |
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Mar 15, 2023
Closed:Jan 1, 2024
Scheduled resolution:May 15, 2026
Authors:
Opened:Mar 15, 2023
Closed:Jan 1, 2024
Scheduled resolution:May 15, 2026