Question

Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025?

Resolved:No
16
58
Total Forecasters187
Community Prediction
1%
(0.1% - 4%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-51.7
Community Peer Score
29.6
Authors:
dschwarzwill_aldred
Opened:May 23, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Dec 31, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:May 24, 2023
AI Safety
Geopolitics
Artificial Intelligence
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