Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
2
comments
8
forecasters
What will be the US : China ratio for the number of significant ML systems in these years?
Share
Comments
Timeline
In the News
Key Factors
Question Info
Resolution Criteria
Background Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
2023
2026
2024
Others (1)
Follow
embed
Authors:
dschwarz
will_aldred
Opened:
May 30, 2023
Closes:
Dec 31, 2029
Resolved:
Jan 14, 2025
AI in China
Artificial Intelligence
🏆 2021-2025 Leaderboard
News Match
China’s AI Push Has Scale. But Substance?
Bloomberg
•
Oct 30, 2025
China Is Building the Future
Atlantic
•
Oct 30, 2025
Global Superintelligence Arms Race: 4 Key Players
Forbes
•
Oct 29, 2025
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
What will be the US : China ratio for private investment in AI in the following years?
2023
8.66
2024
11.74
2026
3.88
1 other
14
forecasters
What percentage of AI computational performance will be located in the United States on January 1, 2028?
64.5%
(53.7 - 77.9)
64.5%
(53.7 - 77.9)
60
forecasters
How many months ahead of the rest of the world will the US be in the following AI benchmarks on January 1, 2027?
RE-Bench
2.34
FrontierMath
2.87
Top Capabilities Benchmark
3.01
40
forecasters
Show More Questions