Question
Will there be a Frontier AI lab in China before 2026?
Resolved:YesTotal Forecasters158
Community Prediction
83%
(72% - 90%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?Yes
Community Baseline Score
25.5
Community Peer Score
5.1
Authors:
Opened:May 30, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Resolves:Dec 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 1, 2023
Authors:
Opened:May 30, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Resolves:Dec 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 1, 2023
